TotalEnergies 2025 Strategy and Outlook

Key highlights
  • TotalEnergies targets 4% annual energy production growth through 2030.
  • Plans $7.5 billion savings from 2026-2030, reducing net Capex to $15-17 billion annually.
  • Focus on LNG and Integrated Power, with 50% sales growth in LNG by 2030.
  • Electricity production to increase 20% annually, reaching 100-120 TWh/y by 2030.

Growth and Savings Strategy

TotalEnergies aims for a 4% annual increase in energy production through 2030, focusing on oil, gas, and electricity. The company plans a $7.5 billion savings program from 2026 to 2030, reducing net Capex to $15-17 billion annually, with a focus on high-margin upstream projects and selective low-carbon investments.

Oil and Gas Expansion

From 2024 to 2030, TotalEnergies targets a 3% annual growth in oil and gas production, driven by new projects in the US, Brazil, Iraq, and Uganda. LNG projects in Qatar and Malaysia will also contribute to this growth, with integrated LNG expected to deliver over 70% cash flow growth by 2030.

Electricity Production Goals

TotalEnergies plans to increase electricity production by 20% annually, reaching 100-120 TWh/y by 2030, with 70% from renewable sources and 30% from flexible gas. Investments will focus on deregulated markets in the US, Europe, and Brazil, aiming for the Integrated Power segment to be free cash-flow positive by 2028.

Shareholder Returns

The company anticipates free cash flow growth of around $10 billion by 2030, prioritizing dividend growth and maintaining a shareholder return policy of over 40% of annual cash flow. The Board has authorized $1.5 billion in share buybacks for Q4 2025, with 2026 guidance set at $0.75-1.5 billion per quarter, depending on Brent prices and exchange rates.

Source: TotalEnergies

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